Predicted ELO Rankings

Records include games against Division I opponents only.
"ELO Delta" is the difference between a team's Predicted ELO and their ELO on FRI, AUG 1st.
KEY:
Quadrant 1 (Q1): All Opponents (1-25)
Quadrant 2 (Q2): All Opponents (26-50)
Quadrant 3 (Q3): All Opponents (51-75)
Quadrant 4 (Q4): All Opponents (76-128)
Team Record ELO Rank Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 ELO Delta
South Dakota State
 12-0 1648.1 1 4-0 1-0 2-0 5-0 +2
North Dakota State
 11-1 1605.2 2 2-1 2-0 4-0 3-0 -1
Montana State
 10-2 1589.2 3 2-2 2-0 1-0 5-0 -1
Jackson State
 10-0 1589.1 4 1-0 2-0 2-0 5-0 +4
Villanova
 10-1 1588.4 5 1-1 4-0 2-0 3-0 +6
Incarnate Word
 11-1 1588.3 6 0-0 5-0 2-1 4-0 -1
Richmond
 11-1 1582.8 7 0-1 4-0 1-0 6-0 +3
Harvard
 9-1 1552.7 8 1-1 1-0 4-0 3-0 +7
Montana
 10-1 1545.9 9 1-1 0-0 2-0 7-0 +7
South Dakota
 9-3 1544.2 10 1-3 2-0 2-0 4-0 -6
Dartmouth
 9-1 1542.5 11 1-1 1-0 4-0 3-0 +9
Tarleton State
 10-2 1535.7 12 2-0 2-2 1-0 5-0 +5
Yale
 7-1 1534.0 13 1-1 2-0 2-0 2-0 +6
Idaho
 9-3 1532.7 14 1-1 1-1 2-1 5-0 -8
Western Carolina
 10-2 1531.6 15 1-1 1-0 4-0 4-1 +8
Mercer
 9-3 1523.4 16 1-2 0-1 4-0 4-0 -7
Tennessee-Martin
 9-3 1518.7 17 0-0 3-0 1-1 5-2 +1
Chattanooga
 9-3 1510.1 18 1-3 1-0 4-0 3-0 +6
UC Davis
 9-3 1507.9 19 2-2 1-1 0-0 6-0 -12
Rhode Island
 9-3 1490.7 20 0-0 1-2 2-0 6-1 -6
Florida A&M
 9-2 1488.3 21 0-1 3-0 1-0 5-1 +23
Illinois State
 8-4 1487.3 22 0-3 0-1 3-0 5-0 -10
Butler
 8-2 1481.4 23 0-0 2-0 2-0 4-2 +24
Southern Utah
 9-3 1480.0 24 0-2 4-1 1-0 4-0 +13
Monmouth
 9-3 1474.0 25 0-1 1-1 2-0 6-1 +24
Eastern Kentucky
 8-4 1472.9 26 1-2 1-2 2-0 4-0 +1
North Carolina Central
 8-3 1464.8 27 0-1 2-1 0-0 6-1 -1
Tennessee State
 9-3 1460.4 28 0-2 1-1 0-0 8-0
Stephen F. Austin
 8-3 1453.4 29 0-1 1-1 2-0 5-1 +26
Holy Cross
 7-5 1448.3 30 1-3 2-1 0-1 4-0 +13
Southeast Missouri
 8-4 1447.2 31 0-2 1-1 1-0 6-1 +7
Southern
 8-4 1445.2 32 0-2 1-1 3-1 4-0 +16
William & Mary
 8-4 1441.1 33 0-2 1-1 2-0 5-1
South Carolina State
 8-3 1438.9 34 0-0 0-2 1-1 7-0 -5
Southeastern Louisiana
 8-4 1434.9 35 0-2 0-1 2-0 6-1 +5
New Hampshire
 7-5 1430.1 36 0-4 3-0 1-0 3-1 -11
Lafayette
 8-4 1430.0 37 0-1 1-2 1-1 6-0 +20
Drake
 6-4 1429.6 38 0-3 0-1 3-0 3-0 -7
San Diego
 8-4 1426.6 39 0-3 1-0 2-0 5-1 +3
Towson
 8-4 1421.9 40 1-1 1-0 1-2 5-1 -6
Abilene Christian
 7-5 1415.8 41 1-2 1-3 1-0 4-0 -20
Lamar
 7-5 1414.5 42 0-2 1-2 3-0 3-1 +4
Tennessee Tech
 7-4 1414.2 43 0-2 1-1 1-0 5-1 -2
Robert Morris
 7-4 1413.3 44 0-0 1-0 2-2 4-2 +10
Duquesne
 6-4 1409.3 45 0-0 0-2 2-0 4-2 -10
Central Arkansas
 7-5 1404.9 46 0-2 3-1 0-1 4-1 +5
Alabama State
 6-4 1404.0 47 0-2 0-1 1-0 5-1 +6
Elon
 6-6 1400.9 48 1-2 0-2 1-2 4-0 -12
Lehigh
 7-5 1394.6 49 0-2 1-2 1-1 5-0 -19
Northern Arizona
 6-6 1393.3 50 0-5 0-1 0-0 6-0 -11
Merrimack
 6-4 1392.0 51 0-1 1-0 1-1 4-2 +18
Youngstown State
 6-6 1386.3 52 0-3 1-1 1-1 4-1 +9
Columbia
 5-5 1381.1 53 0-3 1-1 1-1 3-0 -21
Austin Peay
 6-6 1379.0 54 0-3 1-2 2-0 3-1 +14
North Dakota
 6-6 1376.2 55 0-5 0-0 1-1 5-0 +5
Central Connecticut
 6-5 1367.4 56 0-1 0-2 1-1 5-1 +3
Stony Brook
 6-6 1367.0 57 0-3 1-0 1-1 4-2 -12
Albany
 5-6 1365.8 58 0-3 1-3 2-0 2-0 +5
Cornell
 5-5 1365.3 59 0-3 0-0 1-2 4-0 +18
Penn
 4-4 1362.7 60 0-2 0-1 1-1 3-0 +4
East Tennessee State
 6-6 1358.6 61 0-4 1-0 1-2 4-0 -11
Davidson
 6-5 1346.3 62 0-0 0-4 1-1 5-0 +19
Wofford
 5-7 1343.0 63 0-4 0-1 2-2 3-0 +12
Alcorn State
 5-6 1336.5 64 0-2 0-1 1-1 4-2 -6
Morehead State
 5-5 1335.2 65 0-2 0-1 1-1 4-1 -3
Eastern Washington
 5-7 1329.8 66 0-5 0-0 0-0 5-2 +8
Southern Illinois
 4-7 1329.7 67 0-4 0-1 1-1 3-1 -15
Saint Thomas
 5-6 1328.2 68 0-3 0-2 0-1 5-0 -12
Furman
 5-7 1325.5 69 0-4 0-1 1-2 4-0 +2
Samford
 5-7 1325.4 70 0-3 0-1 2-2 3-1 -3
Texas Southern
 5-5 1322.5 71 0-0 0-3 1-1 4-1 +21
Grambling State
 5-5 1321.0 72 0-2 0-1 1-1 4-1 +30
McNeese
 5-6 1318.4 73 0-0 0-3 0-2 5-1 +3
Nicholls
 5-7 1317.1 74 0-1 0-4 1-1 4-1 +6
Saint Francis (PA)
 5-6 1313.2 75 0-0 0-2 0-2 5-2 +23
Weber State
 4-8 1309.7 76 1-3 0-1 1-2 2-2 -10
Portland State
 4-8 1308.5 77 0-4 0-1 0-2 4-1 -5
Long Island
 5-6 1308.1 78 0-1 1-2 0-2 4-1 +13
Lindenwood
 4-8 1299.5 79 0-1 0-3 0-4 4-0 -6
Bucknell
 5-7 1298.7 80 0-1 0-3 1-1 4-2 -15
Prairie View A&M
 5-6 1294.2 81 0-0 0-2 1-3 4-1 -2
Hampton
 4-7 1284.5 82 0-4 0-2 0-0 4-1 +8
Princeton
 2-6 1282.8 83 0-3 1-1 0-2 1-0 -5
Howard
 4-7 1278.1 84 0-2 0-3 0-0 4-2 +20
Northern Iowa
 4-8 1278.1 85 1-4 0-0 1-3 2-1 -3
Alabama A&M
 4-7 1275.2 86 0-2 0-2 1-2 3-1 +1
Houston Christian
 4-7 1274.2 87 0-1 0-4 0-2 4-0 +1
Presbyterian College
 4-6 1266.5 88 0-2 0-0 1-3 3-1 -2
Eastern Illinois
 4-8 1262.7 89 0-3 0-3 0-0 4-2 +7
Georgetown
 4-8 1258.9 90 0-1 0-3 0-2 4-2 +5
Sacramento State
 4-8 1256.1 91 0-4 1-0 0-1 3-3 -2
Dayton
 3-7 1242.1 92 0-1 0-3 0-2 3-1 +1
Gardner-Webb
 3-9 1240.1 93 0-2 0-5 0-0 3-2 -8
Idaho State
 2-9 1239.3 94 0-5 0-2 0-0 2-2 -10
Maine
 3-9 1238.9 95 0-1 0-4 1-2 2-2 -25
Indiana State
 2-9 1236.0 96 0-5 0-1 0-3 2-0 +1
North Alabama
 2-9 1223.9 97 0-3 0-4 0-2 2-0 +6
Sacred Heart
 3-8 1217.8 98 0-2 0-1 0-2 3-3 +2
Norfolk State
 3-8 1216.6 99 0-0 0-3 0-1 3-4 +9
Wagner
 4-8 1215.3 100 0-0 0-3 0-2 4-3 +12
Bryant
 2-9 1205.8 101 0-2 0-2 0-2 2-3 +10
Bethune-Cookman
 2-9 1204.5 102 0-3 0-3 0-1 2-2 +15
Campbell
 2-10 1201.8 103 0-2 0-5 0-1 2-2 -2
Morgan State
 1-8 1200.3 104 0-0 0-3 0-2 1-3 -21
UTRGV
 1-8 1194.7 105 0-1 0-3 0-2 1-2 +159
The Citadel
 1-10 1192.3 106 0-5 0-0 0-4 1-1 -12
Brown
 1-9 1183.3 107 0-4 0-0 0-3 1-2 -8
Mercyhurst
 2-10 1173.4 108 0-2 0-2 0-3 2-3 +7
Western Illinois
 2-10 1172.3 109 0-1 0-3 0-2 2-4 -4
Fordham
 1-11 1169.8 110 0-3 0-3 0-2 1-3
West Georgia
 1-10 1164.3 111 0-2 0-3 0-4 1-1 +3
Valparaiso
 1-9 1163.9 112 0-1 0-2 0-3 1-3 -5
East Texas A&M
 1-11 1146.3 113 0-2 0-4 0-3 1-2 -7
Colgate
 1-11 1146.2 114 0-3 0-3 0-3 1-2 -1
Cal Poly
 0-11 1135.7 115 0-4 0-3 0-1 0-3 -6
VMI
 0-11 1133.1 116 0-4 0-0 0-5 0-2
Marist
 1-10 1130.5 117 0-1 0-2 0-4 1-3 +6
Northern Colorado
 0-11 1124.8 118 0-4 0-1 0-1 0-5 +3
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
 0-10 1123.9 119 0-2 0-3 0-3 0-2
Murray State
 0-12 1118.2 120 0-3 0-2 0-4 0-3 -2
Charleston Southern
 0-12 1112.7 121 0-1 0-5 0-0 0-6 +3
North Carolina A&T
 0-12 1112.5 122 0-1 0-6 0-1 0-4 +3
Northwestern State
 0-12 1111.4 123 0-1 0-4 0-3 0-4 +6
Utah Tech
 0-12 1110.9 124 0-4 0-4 0-1 0-3 -4
Mississippi Valley State
 0-11 1110.8 125 0-3 0-3 0-2 0-3 +1
Delaware State
 0-10 1098.4 126 0-1 0-2 0-2 0-5 +2
Stetson
 0-10 1091.6 127 0-2 0-1 0-3 0-4
Stonehill
 0-12 1082.9 128 0-1 0-3 0-3 0-5 -6