Predicted ELO Rankings

Records include games against Division I opponents only.
"ELO Delta" is the difference between a team's Predicted ELO and their ELO on FRI, AUG 1st.
KEY:
Quadrant 1 (Q1): All Opponents (1-25)
Quadrant 2 (Q2): All Opponents (26-50)
Quadrant 3 (Q3): All Opponents (51-75)
Quadrant 4 (Q4): All Opponents (76-129)
Team Record ELO Rank Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 ELO Delta
South Dakota State
 12-0 1648.8 1 4-0 1-0 2-0 5-0 +2
North Dakota State
 11-1 1605.2 2 2-1 2-0 4-0 3-0 -1
Villanova
 10-1 1590.8 3 1-1 4-0 2-0 3-0 +8
Montana State
 10-2 1590.0 4 2-2 1-0 2-0 5-0 -2
Jackson State
 10-0 1589.1 5 1-0 2-0 2-0 5-0 +3
Incarnate Word
 11-1 1588.3 6 0-0 4-0 3-1 4-0 -1
Richmond
 11-1 1582.8 7 0-1 4-0 1-0 6-0 +3
Yale
 9-1 1556.2 8 1-1 2-0 3-0 3-0 +11
Harvard
 9-1 1553.8 9 1-1 2-0 3-0 3-0 +6
Montana
 10-1 1546.0 10 1-1 0-0 2-0 7-0 +6
South Dakota
 9-3 1544.3 11 1-3 2-0 2-0 4-0 -7
Dartmouth
 9-1 1542.5 12 1-1 1-0 4-0 3-0 +8
Tarleton State
 10-2 1535.7 13 2-0 2-2 1-0 5-0 +4
Idaho
 9-3 1532.6 14 1-1 0-1 3-1 5-0 -8
Western Carolina
 10-2 1531.6 15 1-1 1-0 4-0 4-1 +8
Mercer
 9-3 1523.4 16 1-2 0-1 4-0 4-0 -7
Tennessee-Martin
 9-3 1518.7 17 0-0 3-0 1-1 5-2 +1
Chattanooga
 9-3 1510.1 18 1-3 1-0 4-0 3-0 +6
UC Davis
 9-3 1507.9 19 2-2 0-1 1-0 6-0 -12
Rhode Island
 9-3 1491.6 20 0-0 1-2 3-0 5-1 -6
Florida A&M
 9-2 1488.3 21 0-1 3-0 1-0 5-1 +23
Illinois State
 8-4 1487.4 22 0-3 0-1 3-0 5-0 -10
Butler
 8-2 1480.4 23 0-0 2-0 2-0 4-2 +24
Southern Utah
 9-3 1479.6 24 0-2 3-1 2-0 4-0 +13
Monmouth
 9-3 1474.9 25 0-1 1-1 2-0 6-1 +24
Eastern Kentucky
 8-4 1472.9 26 1-2 1-2 2-0 4-0 +1
North Carolina Central
 8-3 1464.8 27 0-1 2-1 0-0 6-1 -1
Tennessee State
 9-3 1460.4 28 0-2 1-1 0-0 8-0
Stephen F. Austin
 8-3 1453.4 29 0-1 1-1 2-0 5-1 +26
Holy Cross
 7-5 1448.3 30 1-3 2-1 0-1 4-0 +13
Southeast Missouri
 8-4 1447.2 31 0-2 1-1 1-0 6-1 +7
Southern
 8-4 1445.2 32 0-2 1-1 3-1 4-0 +16
William & Mary
 8-4 1442.0 33 0-2 1-1 2-0 5-1
South Carolina State
 8-3 1438.9 34 0-0 0-2 1-1 7-0 -5
Southeastern Louisiana
 8-4 1434.9 35 0-2 0-1 2-0 6-1 +5
New Hampshire
 7-5 1431.1 36 0-4 3-0 1-0 3-1 -11
Lafayette
 8-4 1430.0 37 0-1 1-2 1-1 6-0 +20
Drake
 6-4 1428.8 38 0-3 0-1 3-0 3-0 -7
San Diego
 8-4 1425.7 39 0-3 1-0 2-0 5-1 +3
Duquesne
 7-4 1423.9 40 0-0 0-2 2-0 5-2 -5
Towson
 8-4 1422.8 41 1-1 1-0 1-2 5-1 -7
Abilene Christian
 7-5 1415.8 42 1-2 1-3 1-0 4-0 -21
Lamar
 7-5 1414.5 43 0-2 1-2 3-0 3-1 +3
Robert Morris
 7-4 1414.3 44 0-0 1-1 1-2 5-1 +10
Tennessee Tech
 7-4 1414.2 45 0-2 1-1 1-0 5-1 -4
Merrimack
 7-4 1408.5 46 0-1 1-0 1-1 5-2 +23
Central Arkansas
 7-5 1405.0 47 0-2 3-1 0-1 4-1 +4
Alabama State
 6-4 1404.0 48 0-2 0-1 1-0 5-1 +5
Elon
 6-6 1400.9 49 1-2 0-2 1-2 4-0 -13
Lehigh
 7-5 1394.6 50 0-2 1-2 1-1 5-0 -20
Northern Arizona
 6-6 1393.2 51 0-5 0-1 0-0 6-0 -12
Youngstown State
 6-6 1386.4 52 0-3 1-1 1-1 4-1 +9
Columbia
 5-5 1381.9 53 0-3 1-1 1-1 3-0 -21
Austin Peay
 6-6 1379.0 54 0-3 1-2 2-0 3-1 +14
Albany
 6-6 1376.5 55 0-3 1-3 2-0 3-0 +8
North Dakota
 6-6 1376.3 56 0-5 0-0 1-1 5-0 +4
Central Connecticut
 6-5 1369.4 57 0-1 0-3 1-0 5-1 +2
Penn
 5-5 1369.1 58 0-3 0-1 1-1 4-0 +6
Stony Brook
 6-6 1368.0 59 0-3 2-0 0-1 4-2 -14
Cornell
 5-5 1365.1 60 0-3 0-0 1-2 4-0 +17
East Tennessee State
 6-6 1358.6 61 0-4 1-0 1-2 4-0 -11
Davidson
 6-5 1345.5 62 0-0 0-4 1-1 5-0 +19
Wofford
 5-7 1343.0 63 0-4 0-1 2-2 3-0 +12
Alcorn State
 5-6 1336.5 64 0-2 0-1 1-1 4-2 -6
Morehead State
 5-5 1334.4 65 0-2 0-1 1-1 4-1 -3
Eastern Washington
 5-7 1330.0 66 0-5 0-0 0-0 5-2 +8
Southern Illinois
 4-7 1329.7 67 0-4 0-1 1-1 3-1 -15
Saint Thomas
 5-6 1327.4 68 0-3 0-2 0-1 5-0 -12
Furman
 5-7 1325.5 69 0-4 0-1 1-2 4-0 +2
Samford
 5-7 1325.4 70 0-3 0-1 2-2 3-1 -3
Long Island
 6-6 1324.0 71 0-1 1-2 0-1 5-2 +20
Texas Southern
 5-5 1322.5 72 0-0 0-3 1-1 4-1 +20
Grambling State
 5-5 1321.0 73 0-2 0-1 1-1 4-1 +29
McNeese
 5-6 1318.4 74 0-0 0-3 0-2 5-1 +2
Nicholls
 5-7 1317.1 75 0-1 0-4 1-1 4-1 +5
Saint Francis (PA)
 5-6 1314.9 76 0-0 0-2 1-2 4-2 +22
Weber State
 4-8 1309.7 77 1-3 0-0 1-3 2-2 -11
Portland State
 4-8 1308.6 78 0-4 0-0 0-3 4-1 -6
Lindenwood
 4-8 1299.5 79 0-1 0-3 0-4 4-0 -6
Bucknell
 5-7 1298.0 80 0-1 0-3 0-1 5-2 -15
Prairie View A&M
 5-6 1294.2 81 0-0 0-2 1-3 4-1 -2
Hampton
 4-7 1284.6 82 0-4 0-2 0-0 4-1 +8
Northern Iowa
 4-8 1278.1 83 1-4 0-0 1-3 2-1 -1
Howard
 4-7 1278.1 84 0-2 0-3 0-0 4-2 +20
Alabama A&M
 4-7 1275.2 85 0-2 0-2 1-2 3-1 +2
Houston Christian
 4-7 1274.2 86 0-1 0-4 0-2 4-0 +2
Sacred Heart
 4-7 1266.7 87 0-2 0-2 0-2 4-1 +13
Presbyterian College
 4-6 1265.6 88 0-2 0-0 1-3 3-1 -2
Eastern Illinois
 4-8 1262.7 89 0-3 0-3 0-0 4-2 +7
Georgetown
 4-8 1258.8 90 0-1 0-3 0-2 4-2 +5
Sacramento State
 4-8 1257.3 91 0-4 1-0 0-1 3-3 -2
Princeton
 2-8 1253.0 92 0-4 1-1 0-3 1-0 -14
Dayton
 3-7 1241.9 93 0-1 0-3 0-2 3-1
Gardner-Webb
 3-9 1240.1 94 0-2 0-5 0-0 3-2 -9
Maine
 3-9 1239.1 95 0-1 0-5 1-1 2-2 -25
Idaho State
 2-9 1237.9 96 0-5 0-1 0-1 2-2 -12
Indiana State
 2-9 1236.0 97 0-5 0-1 0-3 2-0
North Alabama
 2-9 1223.8 98 0-3 0-4 0-2 2-0 +5
Wagner
 4-8 1217.8 99 0-0 0-3 0-2 4-3 +13
Norfolk State
 3-8 1216.6 100 0-0 0-3 0-1 3-4 +8
Bryant
 2-9 1206.8 101 0-2 0-2 0-2 2-3 +10
Bethune-Cookman
 2-9 1204.5 102 0-3 0-3 0-1 2-2 +15
Campbell
 2-10 1202.0 103 0-2 0-5 0-1 2-2 -2
Morgan State
 1-8 1200.3 104 0-0 0-3 0-2 1-3 -21
New Haven
 1-6 1198.8 105 0-0 0-2 0-2 1-2 +159
UTRGV
 1-8 1194.7 106 0-1 0-3 0-2 1-2 +158
The Citadel
 1-10 1192.3 107 0-5 0-0 0-4 1-1 -13
Brown
 1-9 1182.9 108 0-4 0-0 0-3 1-2 -9
Western Illinois
 2-10 1172.3 109 0-1 0-3 0-2 2-4 -4
Fordham
 1-11 1170.7 110 0-3 0-4 0-1 1-3
Mercyhurst
 2-10 1165.7 111 0-2 0-2 0-3 2-3 +4
West Georgia
 1-10 1164.3 112 0-2 0-3 0-4 1-1 +2
Valparaiso
 1-9 1163.7 113 0-1 0-2 0-3 1-3 -6
East Texas A&M
 1-11 1146.3 114 0-2 0-4 0-3 1-2 -8
Colgate
 1-11 1146.2 115 0-3 0-4 0-2 1-2 -2
Cal Poly
 0-11 1135.7 116 0-4 0-2 0-2 0-3 -7
VMI
 0-11 1133.0 117 0-4 0-0 0-5 0-2 -1
Northern Colorado
 0-11 1124.8 118 0-4 0-0 0-2 0-5 +3
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
 0-10 1123.9 119 0-2 0-3 0-3 0-2
Marist
 1-11 1119.2 120 0-1 0-2 0-4 1-4 +3
Murray State
 0-12 1118.3 121 0-3 0-2 0-4 0-3 -3
Charleston Southern
 0-12 1112.7 122 0-1 0-5 0-0 0-6 +2
North Carolina A&T
 0-12 1112.6 123 0-1 0-6 0-1 0-4 +2
Northwestern State
 0-12 1111.4 124 0-1 0-4 0-3 0-4 +5
Mississippi Valley State
 0-11 1110.8 125 0-3 0-3 0-2 0-3 +1
Utah Tech
 0-12 1110.8 126 0-4 0-3 0-2 0-3 -6
Delaware State
 0-10 1098.4 127 0-1 0-2 0-1 0-6 +1
Stetson
 0-10 1090.7 128 0-2 0-1 0-3 0-4 -1
Stonehill
 0-12 1084.5 129 0-1 0-3 0-3 0-5 -7