NCAA Tournament - College World Series Prediction

Each game of the College World Series is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team advancing to the CWS Championship Series and winning the National Championship.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary

CWS Bracket 1
Probability of advancing to CWS Final series

Day
1
Day
3
Day
5
Day
7/8*
(4) Vanderbilt (3-1) 42.7% 69.0% 25.5% 58.0%
(5) Arizona (0-2) 36.0% 6.5% --- ---
(9) Stanford (1-2) 11.1% 4.2% 14.6% ---
North Carolina State (2-1) 10.2% 20.4% 59.9% 42.0%

CWS Bracket 2
Probability of advancing to CWS Final series

Day
2
Day
4
Day
6
Day
7/8*
(2) Texas (3-2) 41.8% 13.8% 25.0% 54.0%
(3) Tennessee (0-2) 20.5% 5.0% --- ---
(7) Mississippi State (3-1) 25.1% 48.5% 66.9% 46.0%
Virginia (1-2) 12.6% 32.7% 8.1% ---

National Championship
Probability of winning the 2021 National Championship

Initial Updated
(2) Texas 23.9% ---
(3) Tennessee 10.6% ---
(4) Vanderbilt 19.8% 52.0%
(5) Arizona 18.4% ---
(7) Mississippi State 13.0% 48.0%
(9) Stanford 4.8% ---
Virginia 5.4% ---
North Carolina State 4.2% ---