NCAA Tournament - College World Series Prediction
Each game of the College World Series is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team advancing to the CWS Championship Series and winning the National Championship.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary
CWS Bracket 1
Probability of advancing to CWS Final series
| Day 1 |
Day 3 |
Day 5 |
Day 7/8* |
||
| (4) Vanderbilt | (3-1) | 42.7% | 69.0% | 25.5% | 58.0% ✓ |
| (5) Arizona | (0-2) | 36.0% | 6.5% | --- | --- |
| (9) Stanford | (1-2) | 11.1% | 4.2% | 14.6% | --- |
| North Carolina State | (2-1) | 10.2% | 20.4% | 59.9% | 42.0% |
CWS Bracket 2
Probability of advancing to CWS Final series
| Day 2 |
Day 4 |
Day 6 |
Day 7/8* |
||
| (2) Texas | (3-2) | 41.8% | 13.8% | 25.0% | 54.0% |
| (3) Tennessee | (0-2) | 20.5% | 5.0% | --- | --- |
| (7) Mississippi State | (3-1) | 25.1% | 48.5% | 66.9% | 46.0% ✓ |
| Virginia | (1-2) | 12.6% | 32.7% | 8.1% | --- |
National Championship
Probability of winning the 2021 National Championship
| Initial | Updated | |
| (2) Texas | 23.9% | --- |
| (3) Tennessee | 10.6% | --- |
| (4) Vanderbilt | 19.8% | 52.0% |
| (5) Arizona | 18.4% | --- |
| (7) Mississippi State | 13.0% | 48.0% ✓ |
| (9) Stanford | 4.8% | --- |
| Virginia | 5.4% | --- |
| North Carolina State | 4.2% | --- |