2026 North Carolina Tar Heels Predicted Results
Predictions include games against Division I opponents only.
All times are Eastern
KEY:
Predicted Game Results
Quadrant 1 (Q1): All Opponents (1-25)
Quadrant 2 (Q2): All Opponents (26-50)
Quadrant 3 (Q3): All Opponents (51-75)
Quadrant 4 (Q4): All Opponents (76-138)
Predicted Rankings / Strength of Schedule (SOS)
Non-Conf SOS
ELO
19
(1540.6)
SOS
Opp Win Percent
14
(0.6107)
Non-Conf SOS
Opp Win Percent
30
(0.6279)
Predicted Quadrant Records (ELO)
Schedule
- Aer Lingus College Football Classic
-
+
AUG
29
SAT
VS
Dublin, Ireland
Aviva Stadium
W 15 - 10
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| North Carolina |
10 |
2 |
3 |
0 |
15 |
| TCU |
10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
Location: Dublin, Ireland
Stadium: Aviva Stadium
Opponent ELO: 55
-
-
+
SEP
12
SAT
Chapel Hill, NC
Kenan Stadium
W 35 - 3
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| East Tennessee State |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
| North Carolina |
7 |
14 |
14 |
0 |
35 |
Location: Chapel Hill, NC
Stadium: Kenan Stadium
Opponent ELO: FCS
-
+
SEP
19
SAT
AT
Clemson, SC
Memorial Stadium
L 20 - 28
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| North Carolina |
14 |
3 |
0 |
3 |
20 |
| Clemson |
3 |
3 |
9 |
13 |
28 |
Location: Clemson, SC
Stadium: Memorial Stadium
Opponent ELO: 29
-
+
OCT
3
SAT
Chapel Hill, NC
Kenan Stadium
L 26 - 37
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| Notre Dame |
14 |
7 |
6 |
10 |
37 |
| North Carolina |
7 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
26 |
Location: Chapel Hill, NC
Stadium: Kenan Stadium
Opponent ELO: 7
-
+
OCT
10
SAT
AT
Pittsburgh, PA
Acrisure Stadium
W 21 - 17
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| North Carolina |
0 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
21 |
| Pittsburgh |
7 |
3 |
0 |
7 |
17 |
Location: Pittsburgh, PA
Stadium: Acrisure Stadium
Opponent ELO: 54
-
+
OCT
17
SAT
AT
Durham, NC
Wallace Wade Stadium
W 24 - 20
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| North Carolina |
10 |
7 |
0 |
7 |
24 |
| Duke |
0 |
7 |
3 |
10 |
20 |
Location: Durham, NC
Stadium: Wallace Wade Stadium
Opponent ELO: 37
-
+
OCT
24
SAT
Chapel Hill, NC
Kenan Stadium
L 30 - 31
(1 Overtimes)
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
OT1 |
Total |
| Syracuse |
0 |
10 |
0 |
13 |
8 |
31 |
| North Carolina |
10 |
3 |
7 |
3 |
7 |
30 |
Location: Chapel Hill, NC
Stadium: Kenan Stadium
Opponent ELO: 67
-
+
OCT
31
SAT
Chapel Hill, NC
Kenan Stadium
L 35 - 38
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| Miami (FL) |
7 |
10 |
7 |
14 |
38 |
| North Carolina |
0 |
14 |
7 |
14 |
35 |
Location: Chapel Hill, NC
Stadium: Kenan Stadium
Opponent ELO: 1
-
NOV
7
SAT
AT
East Hartford, CT
Pratt & Whitney Stadium
TV: CBSSN
L 24 - 26
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| North Carolina |
|
|
|
|
0 |
| Connecticut |
|
|
|
|
0 |
Location: East Hartford, CT
Stadium: Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Opponent ELO: 95
-
NOV
14
SAT
Chapel Hill, NC
Kenan Stadium
L 24 - 31
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| Louisville |
|
|
|
|
0 |
| North Carolina |
|
|
|
|
0 |
Location: Chapel Hill, NC
Stadium: Kenan Stadium
Opponent ELO: 27
-
NOV
21
SAT
AT
Charlottesville, VA
Scott Stadium
L 21 - 24
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| North Carolina |
|
|
|
|
0 |
| Virginia |
|
|
|
|
0 |
Location: Charlottesville, VA
Stadium: Scott Stadium
Opponent ELO: 72
-
NOV
28
SAT
Chapel Hill, NC
Kenan Stadium
W 27 - 24
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| North Carolina State |
|
|
|
|
0 |
| North Carolina |
|
|
|
|
0 |
Location: Chapel Hill, NC
Stadium: Kenan Stadium
Opponent ELO: 61