NCAA Tournament
Regionals Predictions
Each regional is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team winning the regional.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary
Winston-Salem
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(1) Wake Forest ✓ (3-0) 77.2 72.8 94.1 ---
Maryland (1-2) 12.0 22.4 5.8 ---
Northeastern (0-2) 10.7 4.7 --- ---
George Mason (2-2) 0.2 0.1 0.1 ---
Gainesville
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(2) Florida ✓ (4-1) 62.5 65.0 24.7 56.1
Connecticut (1-2) 20.8 8.8 9.5 ---
Texas Tech (2-2) 16.5 26.1 65.8 43.9
Florida A&M (0-2) 0.2 0.1 --- ---
Fayetteville
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(3) Arkansas (2-2) 50.1 57.0 19.9 ---
TCU ✓ (3-0) 27.1 38.2 78.5 ---
Arizona (0-2) 18.6 4.5 --- ---
Santa Clara (1-2) 4.2 0.3 1.7 ---
Clemson
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(4) Clemson (1-2) 53.2 51.7 19.6 ---
Tennessee ✓ (3-0) 41.7 47.4 78.7 ---
Charlotte (2-2) 4.2 0.8 1.7 ---
Lipscomb (0-2) 0.9 0.1 --- ---
Baton Rouge
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(5) LSU ✓ (3-0) 73.7 67.9 91.5 ---
Oregon State (2-2) 21.4 30.3 6.6 ---
Sam Houston State (1-2) 4.7 1.7 1.9 ---
Tulane (0-2) 0.2 0.2 --- ---
Nashville
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(6) Vanderbilt (1-2) 62.8 62.2 14.8 ---
Oregon ✓ (3-0) 20.1 32.0 74.6 ---
Xavier (2-2) 16.5 5.7 10.6 ---
Eastern Illinois (0-2) 0.6 0.1 --- ---
Charlottesville
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(7) Virginia ✓ (3-0) 71.0 71.3 94.8 ---
East Carolina (2-2) 23.1 27.5 4.2 ---
Oklahoma (1-2) 3.7 1.1 1.0 ---
Army (0-2) 2.2 0.1 --- ---
Stanford
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(8) Stanford ✓ (4-1) 59.3 56.2 19.3 54.4
Texas A&M (2-2) 33.0 41.9 77.1 45.6
Cal State Fullerton (1-2) 7.0 1.8 3.6 ---
San Jose State (0-2) 0.7 0.1 --- ---
Coral Gables
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(9) Miami (FL) (2-2) 52.2 50.5 14.6 ---
Texas ✓ (3-0) 32.7 43.9 78.3 ---
Louisiana (1-2) 14.9 5.5 7.1 ---
Maine (0-2) 0.2 0.1 --- ---
Conway
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(10) Coastal Carolina (2-2) 48.0 18.7 22.6 50.7
Duke ✓ (4-1) 41.6 71.5 76.6 49.3
UNCW (0-2) 8.4 3.5 --- ---
Rider (1-2) 2.0 6.3 0.8 ---
Stillwater
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(11) Oklahoma State (0-2) 41.8 16.0 --- ---
Dallas Baptist (2-2) 33.1 9.3 22.6 ---
Washington (1-2) 11.9 38.2 10.2 ---
Oral Roberts ✓ (3-0) 13.2 36.5 67.2 ---
Lexington
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(12) Kentucky ✓ (4-1) 63.5 70.3 27.6 59.0
West Virginia (1-2) 27.0 10.0 13.8 ---
Indiana (2-2) 9.4 19.6 58.6 41.0
Ball State (0-2) 0.2 0.1 --- ---
Auburn
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(13) Auburn (0-2) 49.3 21.4 --- ---
Southern Miss ✓ (4-1) 38.9 16.7 36.6 62.5
Samford (1-2) 7.5 38.2 11.9 ---
Penn (2-2) 4.3 23.7 51.5 37.5
Terre Haute
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(14) Indiana State ✓ (3-0) 40.3 44.8 80.3 ---
Iowa (2-2) 37.3 48.8 12.1 ---
North Carolina (1-2) 19.9 6.1 7.6 ---
Wright State (0-2) 2.5 0.3 --- ---
Columbia
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(15) South Carolina ✓ (3-0) 51.0 61.6 79.1 ---
Campbell (2-2) 36.1 15.1 15.6 ---
North Carolina State (1-2) 12.6 23.2 5.3 ---
Central Connecticut (0-2) 0.3 0.1 --- ---
Tuscaloosa
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(16) Alabama ✓ (3-0) 76.7 81.0 92.6 ---
Boston College (2-2) 14.7 4.3 3.9 ---
Troy (1-2) 8.3 14.6 3.5 ---
Nicholls (0-2) 0.2 0.1 --- ---