NCAA Tournament - Regionals Predictions
Each regional is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team winning the regional.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary
Nashville
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (1) Vanderbilt |
(1-2) |
61.4% |
63.2% |
21.2% |
--- |
| Louisville ✓ |
(3-0) |
19.0% |
30.2% |
78.2% |
|
| East Tennessee State |
(0-2) |
18.8% |
6.5% |
--- |
--- |
| Wright State |
(2-2) |
0.8% |
0.1% |
0.6% |
--- |
Austin
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (2) Texas |
(2-2) |
58.3% |
53.5% |
16.7% |
--- |
| UTSA ✓ |
(3-0) |
34.4% |
43.3% |
79.7% |
|
| Kansas State |
(1-2) |
7.2% |
3.1% |
3.6% |
--- |
| Houston Christian |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Fayetteville
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (3) Arkansas ✓ |
(3-0) |
76.8% |
85.2% |
95.9% |
|
| Kansas |
(0-2) |
19.0% |
5.6% |
--- |
--- |
| Creighton |
(2-2) |
4.1% |
9.1% |
4.0% |
--- |
| North Dakota State |
(1-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Auburn
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (4) Auburn ✓ |
(3-0) |
63.8% |
78.8% |
91.4% |
|
| North Carolina State |
(2-2) |
29.3% |
8.7% |
6.5% |
--- |
| Stetson |
(1-2) |
6.2% |
12.4% |
2.1% |
--- |
| Central Connecticut |
(0-2) |
0.7% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Chapel Hill
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (5) North Carolina ✓ |
(3-1) |
77.7% |
71.9% |
94.8% |
60.4% |
| Oklahoma |
(3-2) |
19.4% |
26.8% |
3.8% |
39.4% |
| Nebraska |
(1-2) |
2.8% |
1.2% |
1.4% |
--- |
| Holy Cross |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Baton Rouge
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (6) LSU ✓ |
(3-1) |
65.7% |
59.9% |
86.6% |
71.1% |
| Dallas Baptist |
(1-2) |
30.1% |
38.6% |
13.3% |
--- |
| Rhode Island |
(0-2) |
4.1% |
1.4% |
--- |
--- |
| Little Rock |
(3-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.1% |
28.9% |
Athens
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (7) Georgia |
(1-2) |
67.7% |
60.5% |
16.4% |
--- |
| Duke ✓ |
(3-0) |
27.7% |
37.4% |
80.5% |
|
| Oklahoma State |
(2-2) |
4.5% |
2.0% |
3.1% |
--- |
| Binghamton |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Corvallis
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (8) Oregon State ✓ |
(4-1) |
58.0% |
28.4% |
49.1% |
60.9% |
| TCU |
(0-2) |
34.9% |
19.6% |
--- |
--- |
| USC |
(2-2) |
6.5% |
45.3% |
50.3% |
39.1% |
| Saint Mary's College |
(1-2) |
0.6% |
6.7% |
0.6% |
--- |
Tallahassee
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (9) Florida State ✓ |
(3-0) |
49.7% |
55.8% |
83.0% |
|
| Northeastern |
(1-2) |
33.0% |
14.2% |
9.7% |
--- |
| Mississippi State |
(2-2) |
17.2% |
29.9% |
7.3% |
--- |
| Bethune-Cookman |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Oxford
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (10) Ole Miss |
(3-2) |
43.0% |
13.6% |
32.5% |
64.5% |
| Georgia Tech |
(1-2) |
35.6% |
69.5% |
27.7% |
--- |
| Western Kentucky |
(0-2) |
18.2% |
6.5% |
--- |
--- |
| Murray State ✓ |
(3-1) |
3.2% |
10.4% |
39.8% |
35.5% |
Clemson
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (11) Clemson |
(1-2) |
39.5% |
48.3% |
13.7% |
--- |
| West Virginia ✓ |
(3-0) |
30.7% |
45.3% |
78.1% |
|
| Kentucky |
(2-2) |
21.9% |
5.7% |
8.2% |
--- |
| South Carolina Upstate |
(0-2) |
7.9% |
0.7% |
--- |
--- |
Eugene
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (12) Oregon |
(0-2) |
73.8% |
17.9% |
--- |
--- |
| Arizona ✓ |
(3-0) |
13.3% |
71.5% |
72.5% |
|
| Cal Poly |
(2-2) |
12.8% |
9.0% |
27.1% |
--- |
| Utah Valley |
(1-2) |
0.1% |
1.6% |
0.4% |
--- |
Conway
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (13) Coastal Carolina ✓ |
(3-0) |
57.5% |
83.5% |
91.1% |
|
| Florida |
(1-2) |
32.2% |
6.7% |
7.5% |
--- |
| East Carolina |
(2-2) |
4.0% |
8.2% |
1.4% |
--- |
| Fairfield |
(0-2) |
6.3% |
1.6% |
--- |
--- |
Knoxville
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (14) Tennessee ✓ |
(3-1) |
62.3% |
78.6% |
92.0% |
56.7% |
| Wake Forest |
(3-2) |
27.4% |
7.1% |
5.6% |
43.3% |
| Cincinnati |
(1-2) |
8.1% |
13.9% |
2.4% |
--- |
| Miami (OH) |
(0-2) |
2.2% |
0.4% |
--- |
--- |
Los Angeles
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (15) UCLA ✓ |
(3-0) |
63.0% |
71.9% |
90.2% |
|
| UC Irvine |
(2-2) |
25.7% |
8.5% |
5.8% |
--- |
| Arizona State |
(1-2) |
10.9% |
19.5% |
4.0% |
--- |
| Fresno State |
(0-2) |
0.4% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Hattiesburg
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (16) Southern Miss |
(3-2) |
52.7% |
22.3% |
35.3% |
57.8% |
| Alabama |
(0-2) |
30.0% |
9.9% |
--- |
--- |
| Miami (FL) ✓ |
(3-1) |
13.9% |
50.5% |
62.8% |
42.2% |
| Columbia |
(1-1) |
3.4% |
17.3% |
1.9% |
--- |
