NCAA Tournament - College World Series Prediction

The "early" CWS prediction assumes the teams in the super regionals with the highest probability of advancing move on to the CWS.

Each game of the College World Series is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team advancing to the CWS Championship Series and winning the National Championship.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary

CWS Bracket 1

Probability of advancing to CWS Final series

Day 1 Day 3 Day 5 Day 7/8*
(4) Auburn (0-0) 23.5%
(5) North Carolina (0-0) 38.2%
(8) Oregon State (0-0) 22.4%
Louisville (0-0) 15.8%

CWS Bracket 2

Probability of advancing to CWS Final series

Day 2 Day 4 Day 6 Day 7/8*
(3) Arkansas (0-0) 38.3%
(6) LSU (0-0) 23.4%
(15) UCLA (0-0) 21.1%
Duke (0-0) 17.2%

National Championship

Probability of winning the 2024 National Championship

Initial Updated
Arkansas 22.9%
North Carolina 18.7%
LSU 12.8%
UCLA 10.9%
Auburn 10.4%
Oregon State 9.5%
Duke 8.5%
Louisville 6.2%