NCAA Tournament - Regionals Predictions
Each regional is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team winning the regional.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary
Knoxville
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (1) Tennessee ✓ |
(3-0) |
85.7% |
92.8% |
96.8% |
--- |
| Southern Miss |
(2-2) |
11.8% |
2.5% |
1.9% |
--- |
| Indiana |
(1-2) |
2.4% |
4.6% |
1.3% |
--- |
| Northern Kentucky |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Lexington
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (2) Kentucky ✓ |
(3-0) |
59.2% |
65.2% |
87.9% |
--- |
| Indiana State |
(2-2) |
29.4% |
11.6% |
7.1% |
--- |
| Illinois |
(1-2) |
11.3% |
23.1% |
5.0% |
--- |
| Western Michigan |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
College Station
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (3) Texas A&M ✓ |
(3-0) |
76.8% |
80.7% |
94.1% |
--- |
| Louisiana |
(2-2) |
14.5% |
4.6% |
2.4% |
--- |
| Texas |
(1-2) |
8.6% |
14.6% |
3.5% |
--- |
| Grambling State |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Chapel Hill
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (4) North Carolina ✓ |
(3-1) |
70.6% |
67.0% |
92.9% |
60.0% |
| LSU |
(3-2) |
16.5% |
26.9% |
2.6% |
40.0% |
| Wofford |
(1-2) |
12.8% |
6.0% |
4.5% |
--- |
| Long Island |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Fayetteville
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (5) Arkansas |
(1-2) |
69.1% |
80.0% |
54.8% |
--- |
| Louisiana Tech |
(0-2) |
24.8% |
7.0% |
--- |
--- |
| Kansas State ✓ |
(3-0) |
5.9% |
12.9% |
45.0% |
--- |
| Southeast Missouri |
(2-2) |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.2% |
--- |
Clemson
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (6) Clemson ✓ |
(3-0) |
65.3% |
69.5% |
91.7% |
--- |
| Vanderbilt |
(0-2) |
19.4% |
6.7% |
--- |
--- |
| Coastal Carolina |
(2-2) |
15.1% |
23.7% |
8.2% |
--- |
| High Point |
(1-2) |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Athens
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (7) Georgia ✓ |
(3-0) |
69.7% |
65.3% |
92.5% |
--- |
| UNCW |
(1-2) |
20.0% |
30.1% |
3.6% |
--- |
| Georgia Tech |
(2-2) |
10.2% |
4.5% |
3.9% |
--- |
| Army |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Tallahassee
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (8) Florida State ✓ |
(3-0) |
64.7% |
73.9% |
94.5% |
--- |
| Alabama |
(0-2) |
20.3% |
5.9% |
--- |
--- |
| UCF |
(2-2) |
13.3% |
20.1% |
5.1% |
--- |
| Stetson |
(1-2) |
1.7% |
0.1% |
0.4% |
--- |
Norman
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (9) Oklahoma |
(3-2) |
49.3% |
62.3% |
23.0% |
58.8% |
| Duke |
(1-2) |
43.4% |
21.2% |
25.5% |
--- |
| Connecticut ✓ |
(3-1) |
7.2% |
16.4% |
51.5% |
41.2% |
| Oral Roberts |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Raleigh
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (10) North Carolina State ✓ |
(3-0) |
48.0% |
48.5% |
83.2% |
--- |
| South Carolina |
(1-2) |
36.5% |
46.7% |
10.8% |
--- |
| James Madison |
(2-2) |
14.3% |
4.7% |
6.0% |
--- |
| Bryant |
(0-2) |
1.2% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Stillwater
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (11) Oklahoma State |
(2-2) |
70.0% |
80.4% |
93.8% |
62.1% |
| Nebraska |
(1-2) |
20.1% |
5.4% |
3.3% |
--- |
| Florida ✓ |
(4-1) |
8.8% |
14.0% |
2.9% |
37.9% |
| Niagara |
(0-2) |
1.1% |
0.2% |
--- |
--- |
Charlottesville
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (12) Virginia ✓ |
(3-0) |
65.0% |
59.2% |
90.2% |
--- |
| Mississippi State |
(2-2) |
23.7% |
36.1% |
5.1% |
--- |
| Saint John's |
(1-2) |
11.2% |
4.6% |
4.7% |
--- |
| Penn |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Tucson
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (13) Arizona |
(0-2) |
38.3% |
11.3% |
--- |
--- |
| Dallas Baptist |
(1-2) |
42.0% |
18.1% |
30.7% |
--- |
| West Virginia ✓ |
(3-0) |
16.4% |
53.3% |
67.1% |
--- |
| Grand Canyon |
(2-2) |
3.3% |
17.3% |
2.2% |
--- |
Santa Barbara
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (14) UC Santa Barbara |
(2-2) |
62.4% |
68.5% |
27.1% |
--- |
| San Diego |
(1-2) |
27.8% |
10.9% |
13.3% |
--- |
| Oregon ✓ |
(3-0) |
9.7% |
20.5% |
59.6% |
--- |
| Fresno State |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
--- |
Corvallis
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (15) Oregon State ✓ |
(3-0) |
59.8% |
60.2% |
88.9% |
--- |
| UC Irvine |
(2-2) |
31.7% |
38.2% |
10.3% |
--- |
| Nicholls |
(0-2) |
6.2% |
1.5% |
--- |
--- |
| Tulane |
(1-2) |
2.3% |
0.1% |
0.7% |
--- |
Greenville
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4* |
| (16) East Carolina |
(3-2) |
55.5% |
31.3% |
53.9% |
65.6% |
| Wake Forest |
(0-2) |
37.7% |
16.4% |
--- |
--- |
| VCU |
(1-2) |
2.5% |
24.3% |
4.4% |
--- |
| Evansville ✓ |
(3-1) |
4.3% |
28.0% |
41.7% |
34.4% |
