NCAA Tournament - College World Series Prediction

Each game of the College World Series is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team advancing to the CWS Championship Series and winning the National Championship.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary

CWS Bracket 1

Probability of advancing to CWS Final series

Day 1 Day 3 Day 5 Day 7/8*
(1) Tennessee (0-0) 38.9%
(4) North Carolina (0-0) 29.2%
(8) Florida State (0-0) 14.5%
(12) Virginia (0-0) 17.4%

CWS Bracket 2

Probability of advancing to CWS Final series

Day 2 Day 4 Day 6 Day 7/8*
(2) Kentucky (0-0) 27.1%
(3) Texas A&M (0-0) 53.1%
(10) North Carolina State (0-0) 9.6%
Florida (0-0) 10.2%

National Championship

Probability of winning the 2024 National Championship

Initial Updated
Texas A&M 25.7%
Tennessee 18.4%
North Carolina 16.0%
Kentucky 14.4%
Virginia 7.8%
Florida State 7.6%
Florida 5.1%
North Carolina State 5.0%