NCAA Tournament - Women's College World Series (WCWS) Prediction

Each game of the WCWS is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team advancing to the WCWS Championship Series and winning the National Championship.

National Seed in parentheses

* if necessary

** crossover game probability

WCWS Bracket 1

Probability of advancing to WCWS Final series

		Day 1	Day 2	Day 3	Day 4	Day 5
(9) UCLA	(1-2)	36.8%	56.7%	54.6%	15.9% **	---
(12) Texas Tech ✓	(3-0)	21.3%	32.3%	30.9%	67.9%	71.2% **
(16) Oregon	(1-2)	33.4%	10.1%	14.5%	15.8%	---
Ole Miss	(0-2)	8.5%	0.9%	---	---	---

WCWS Bracket 2

Probability of advancing to WCWS Final series

		Day 1	Day 2	Day 3	Day 4	Day 5
(2) Oklahoma	(2-2)	28.9%	48.6%	49.7%	16.3% **	28.8% **
(3) Florida	(0-2)	25.7%	6.2%	---	---	---
(6) Texas ✓	(3-0)	21.9%	39.7%	39.1%	75.0%	76.5%
(7) Tennessee	(2-2)	23.5%	5.5%	11.2%	9.1%	23.5%

National Championship

Probability of winning the 2025 National Championship

	Initial	Updated
Texas ✓	11.3%	51.7%
Texas Tech	7.1%	48.3%
Oklahoma	15.1%	---
Tennessee	12.9%	---
Oregon	14.4%	---
UCLA	16.7%	---
Florida	13.3%	---
Ole Miss	9.2%	---