NCAA Tournament - Women's College World Series (WCWS) Prediction

The "early" WCWS prediction assumes the teams in the super regionals with the highest probability of advancing move on to the WCWS.

Each game of the WCWS is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team advancing to the WCWS Championship Series and winning the National Championship.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary
** crossover game probability

WCWS Bracket 1

Probability of advancing to WCWS Final series

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4 Day 5
(16) Oregon (0-0) 25.9%
(9) UCLA (0-0) 23.6%
(4) Arkansas (0-0) 19.2%
(5) Florida State (0-0) 31.2%

WCWS Bracket 2

Probability of advancing to WCWS Final series

Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4 Day 5
(2) Oklahoma (0-0) 29.2%
(7) Tennessee (0-0) 19.1%
(3) Florida (0-0) 23.8%
(6) Texas (0-0) 27.9%

National Championship

Probability of winning the 2025 National Championship

Initial Updated
Florida State 16.4%
Oklahoma 14.3%
Texas 13.5%
Oregon 13.2%
UCLA 12.3%
Florida 11.7%
Arkansas 9.8%
Tennessee 8.8%