NCAA Tournament - Regionals Predictions
Each regional is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team winning the regional.
National Seed in parentheses
College Station
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (1) Texas A&M |
(3-2) |
70.5% |
63.6% |
34.1% |
| Liberty ✓ |
(3-1) |
22.7% |
33.7% |
65.9% |
| Marist |
(1-2) |
6.7% |
3.6% |
--- |
| Saint Francis (PA) |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Norman
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (2) Oklahoma ✓ |
(3-0) |
77.3% |
74.0% |
86.0% |
| California |
(2-2) |
13.6% |
22.3% |
4.0% |
| Omaha |
(1-2) |
9.0% |
3.6% |
--- |
| Boston University |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Gainesville
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (3) Florida ✓ |
(3-0) |
69.9% |
66.2% |
91.9% |
| FAU |
(1-2) |
27.8% |
33.2% |
--- |
| Georgia Tech |
(0-2) |
1.3% |
0.5% |
--- |
| Mercer |
(2-2) |
1.0% |
0.1% |
8.1% |
Fayetteville
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (4) Arkansas ✓ |
(3-0) |
75.0% |
73.8% |
86.8% |
| Oklahoma State |
(2-2) |
10.5% |
20.3% |
13.4% |
| Indiana |
(1-2) |
14.4% |
5.8% |
--- |
| Saint Louis |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Tallahassee
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (5) Florida State ✓ |
(3-1) |
85.7% |
87.6% |
89.5% |
| Auburn |
(3-2) |
6.8% |
1.4% |
10.5% |
| South Florida |
(1-2) |
7.5% |
10.9% |
--- |
| Robert Morris |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Austin
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (6) Texas ✓ |
(3-0) |
79.6% |
79.9% |
87.8% |
| UCF |
(2-2) |
8.5% |
2.1% |
12.2% |
| Michigan |
(1-2) |
11.8% |
17.9% |
--- |
| Eastern Illinois |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Knoxville
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (7) Tennessee ✓ |
(3-0) |
59.7% |
54.1% |
78.7% |
| Ohio State |
(2-2) |
31.5% |
42.0% |
21.3% |
| North Carolina |
(0-2) |
8.7% |
3.8% |
--- |
| Miami (OH) |
(1-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Columbia
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (8) South Carolina ✓ |
(3-0) |
58.7% |
68.1% |
82.0% |
| Virginia |
(1-2) |
26.6% |
9.1% |
--- |
| North Florida |
(2-2) |
13.9% |
22.7% |
18.0% |
| Elon |
(0-2) |
0.8% |
0.1% |
--- |
Los Angeles
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (9) UCLA ✓ |
(3-0) |
86.8% |
88.8% |
94.5% |
| Arizona State |
(0-2) |
7.2% |
1.5% |
--- |
| San Diego State |
(1-2) |
5.8% |
9.6% |
--- |
| UC Santa Barbara |
(2-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
5.5% |
Baton Rouge
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (10) LSU |
(1-2) |
49.0% |
18.1% |
--- |
| Nebraska ✓ |
(3-0) |
44.0% |
70.0% |
86.9% |
| Connecticut |
(0-2) |
3.6% |
0.9% |
--- |
| Southeastern Louisiana |
(2-2) |
3.4% |
11.0% |
13.1% |
Clemson
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (11) Clemson ✓ |
(3-0) |
76.5% |
91.6% |
87.1% |
| Kentucky |
(2-2) |
15.8% |
2.1% |
12.9% |
| Northwestern |
(1-2) |
4.6% |
5.9% |
--- |
| South Carolina Upstate |
(0-2) |
3.1% |
0.5% |
--- |
Lubbock
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (12) Texas Tech ✓ |
(3-0) |
66.8% |
61.1% |
81.9% |
| Mississippi State |
(2-2) |
21.0% |
33.8% |
18.1% |
| Washington |
(1-2) |
12.1% |
5.0% |
--- |
| Brown |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Tucson
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (13) Arizona |
(3-2) |
69.4% |
65.1% |
34.5% |
| Ole Miss ✓ |
(3-1) |
17.6% |
29.2% |
65.5% |
| Grand Canyon |
(1-2) |
12.9% |
5.6% |
--- |
| Santa Clara |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Durham
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (14) Duke |
(3-2) |
70.0% |
64.0% |
34.2% |
| Georgia ✓ |
(3-1) |
21.7% |
32.4% |
65.8% |
| Coastal Carolina |
(1-2) |
8.2% |
3.5% |
--- |
| Howard |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Tuscaloosa
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (15) Alabama ✓ |
(3-0) |
49.2% |
42.3% |
72.8% |
| Virginia Tech |
(2-2) |
46.1% |
56.5% |
27.2% |
| Belmont |
(1-2) |
4.6% |
1.1% |
--- |
| Jackson State |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Eugene
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (16) Oregon ✓ |
(4-1) |
69.0% |
64.9% |
32.6% |
| Stanford |
(2-2) |
30.2% |
34.7% |
67.4% |
| Binghamton |
(0-2) |
0.7% |
0.3% |
--- |
| Weber State |
(1-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
