NCAA Tournament
Regionals Predictions
Each regional is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team winning the regional.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary
Nashville
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(1) Vanderbilt (1-2) 61.4 63.2 21.2 ---
Louisville ✓ (3-0) 19.0 30.2 78.2 ---
East Tennessee State (0-2) 18.8 6.5 --- ---
Wright State (2-2) 0.8 0.1 0.6 ---
Austin
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(2) Texas (2-2) 58.3 53.5 16.7 ---
UTSA ✓ (3-0) 34.4 43.3 79.7 ---
Kansas State (1-2) 7.2 3.1 3.6 ---
Houston Christian (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---
Fayetteville
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(3) Arkansas ✓ (3-0) 76.8 85.2 95.9 ---
Kansas (0-2) 19.0 5.6 --- ---
Creighton (2-2) 4.1 9.1 4.0 ---
North Dakota State (1-2) 0.1 0.1 0.1 ---
Auburn
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(4) Auburn ✓ (3-0) 63.8 78.8 91.4 ---
North Carolina State (2-2) 29.3 8.7 6.5 ---
Stetson (1-2) 6.2 12.4 2.1 ---
Central Connecticut (0-2) 0.7 0.1 --- ---
Chapel Hill
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(5) North Carolina ✓ (3-1) 77.7 71.9 94.8 60.4
Oklahoma (3-2) 19.4 26.8 3.8 39.4
Nebraska (1-2) 2.8 1.2 1.4 ---
Holy Cross (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---
Baton Rouge
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(6) LSU ✓ (3-1) 65.7 59.9 86.6 71.1
Dallas Baptist (1-2) 30.1 38.6 13.3 ---
Rhode Island (0-2) 4.1 1.4 --- ---
Little Rock (3-2) 0.1 0.1 0.1 28.9
Athens
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(7) Georgia (1-2) 67.7 60.5 16.4 ---
Duke ✓ (3-0) 27.7 37.4 80.5 ---
Oklahoma State (2-2) 4.5 2.0 3.1 ---
Binghamton (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---
Corvallis
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(8) Oregon State ✓ (4-1) 58.0 28.4 49.1 60.9
TCU (0-2) 34.9 19.6 --- ---
USC (2-2) 6.5 45.3 50.3 39.1
Saint Mary's College (1-2) 0.6 6.7 0.6 ---
Tallahassee
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(9) Florida State ✓ (3-0) 49.7 55.8 83.0 ---
Northeastern (1-2) 33.0 14.2 9.7 ---
Mississippi State (2-2) 17.2 29.9 7.3 ---
Bethune-Cookman (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---
Oxford
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(10) Ole Miss (3-2) 43.0 13.6 32.5 64.5
Georgia Tech (1-2) 35.6 69.5 27.7 ---
Western Kentucky (0-2) 18.2 6.5 --- ---
Murray State ✓ (3-1) 3.2 10.4 39.8 35.5
Clemson
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(11) Clemson (1-2) 39.5 48.3 13.7 ---
West Virginia ✓ (3-0) 30.7 45.3 78.1 ---
Kentucky (2-2) 21.9 5.7 8.2 ---
South Carolina Upstate (0-2) 7.9 0.7 --- ---
Eugene
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(12) Oregon (0-2) 73.8 17.9 --- ---
Arizona ✓ (3-0) 13.3 71.5 72.5 ---
Cal Poly (2-2) 12.8 9.0 27.1 ---
Utah Valley (1-2) 0.1 1.6 0.4 ---
Conway
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(13) Coastal Carolina ✓ (3-0) 57.5 83.5 91.1 ---
Florida (1-2) 32.2 6.7 7.5 ---
East Carolina (2-2) 4.0 8.2 1.4 ---
Fairfield (0-2) 6.3 1.6 --- ---
Knoxville
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(14) Tennessee ✓ (3-1) 62.3 78.6 92.0 56.7
Wake Forest (3-2) 27.4 7.1 5.6 43.3
Cincinnati (1-2) 8.1 13.9 2.4 ---
Miami (OH) (0-2) 2.2 0.4 --- ---
Los Angeles
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(15) UCLA ✓ (3-0) 63.0 71.9 90.2 ---
UC Irvine (2-2) 25.7 8.5 5.8 ---
Arizona State (1-2) 10.9 19.5 4.0 ---
Fresno State (0-2) 0.4 0.1 --- ---
Hattiesburg
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(16) Southern Miss (3-2) 52.7 22.3 35.3 57.8
Alabama (0-2) 30.0 9.9 --- ---
Miami (FL) ✓ (3-1) 13.9 50.5 62.8 42.2
Columbia (1-2) 3.4 17.3 1.9 ---