NCAA Tournament - College World Series Prediction

Each game of the College World Series is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team advancing to the CWS Championship Series and winning the National Championship.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary

CWS Bracket 1

Probability of advancing to CWS Final series

Day 1 Day 3 Day 5 Day 7/8*
(2) Florida (3-0) 21.0% 45.9% 82.2% 77.3%
(7) Virginia (0-2) 48.3% 18.0% --- ---
TCU (2-2) 16.4% 4.6% 8.3% 22.7%
Oral Roberts (1-2) 14.3% 31.5% 9.5% ---

CWS Bracket 2

Probability of advancing to CWS Final series

Day 2 Day 4 Day 6 Day 7/8*
(1) Wake Forest (2-2) 45.7% 52.9% 86.4% 53.0%
(5) LSU (4-1) 32.6% 43.6% 8.1% 47.0%
(8) Stanford (0-2) 6.3% 0.4% --- ---
Tennessee (1-2) 15.4% 3.1% 5.5% ---

National Championship

Probability of winning the 2023 National Championship

Initial Updated
Wake Forest 25.1% ---
Virginia 21.2% ---
LSU 16.3% 50.8%
Florida 9.7% 48.2%
TCU 8.8% ---
Tennessee 8.2% ---
Oral Roberts 7.3% ---
Stanford 3.4% ---