NCAA Tournament - Regionals Predictions
Each regional is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team winning the regional.
National Seed in parentheses
Austin
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (1) Texas ✓ |
(3-0) |
96.1% |
80.5% |
87.8% |
| Northwestern |
(2-2) |
2.5% |
17.7% |
12.2% |
| Saint Francis (PA) |
(1-2) |
1.3% |
1.7% |
--- |
| Siena |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Norman
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (2) Oklahoma ✓ |
(3-0) |
94.0% |
74.2% |
85.4% |
| Oregon |
(2-2) |
5.0% |
24.4% |
14.6% |
| Boston University |
(1-2) |
0.9% |
0.3% |
--- |
| Cleveland State |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Knoxville
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (3) Tennessee ✓ |
(3-0) |
81.0% |
65.6% |
86.4% |
| Virginia |
(2-2) |
1.5% |
15.4% |
13.6% |
| Miami (OH) |
(1-2) |
17.4% |
18.9% |
--- |
| Dayton |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Gainesville
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (4) Florida ✓ |
(3-0) |
94.9% |
82.0% |
88.7% |
| South Alabama |
(2-2) |
1.2% |
15.3% |
11.3% |
| FAU |
(0-2) |
3.8% |
2.4% |
--- |
| FGCU |
(1-2) |
0.1% |
0.3% |
--- |
Stillwater
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (5) Oklahoma State ✓ |
(3-0) |
91.5% |
71.1% |
83.5% |
| Kentucky |
(1-2) |
3.0% |
22.7% |
--- |
| Michigan |
(2-2) |
5.4% |
6.1% |
16.5% |
| Northern Colorado |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Los Angeles
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (6) UCLA ✓ |
(3-0) |
75.6% |
46.7% |
81.8% |
| Virginia Tech |
(1-2) |
20.5% |
50.9% |
--- |
| San Diego State |
(0-2) |
3.8% |
0.9% |
--- |
| Grand Canyon |
(2-2) |
0.1% |
1.5% |
18.2% |
Columbia
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (7) Missouri ✓ |
(4-1) |
82.7% |
13.6% |
37.6% |
| Washington |
(1-2) |
11.2% |
58.2% |
--- |
| Indiana |
(0-2) |
6.0% |
6.8% |
--- |
| Omaha |
(2-2) |
0.1% |
21.3% |
62.4% |
Palo Alto
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (8) Stanford ✓ |
(3-1) |
82.8% |
56.2% |
88.0% |
| Mississippi State |
(1-2) |
15.6% |
43.3% |
--- |
| Cal State Fullerton |
(3-2) |
1.5% |
0.4% |
12.0% |
| Saint Mary's College |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Baton Rouge
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (9) LSU ✓ |
(3-0) |
82.3% |
58.0% |
78.0% |
| California |
(1-2) |
6.5% |
7.4% |
--- |
| Southern Illinois |
(2-2) |
11.1% |
34.5% |
22.0% |
| Jackson State |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Durham
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (10) Duke ✓ |
(3-0) |
96.1% |
80.5% |
87.7% |
| South Carolina |
(2-2) |
2.5% |
17.8% |
12.3% |
| Utah |
(1-2) |
1.3% |
1.6% |
|
| Morgan State |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Athens
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (11) Georgia ✓ |
(4-1) |
89.4% |
78.7% |
38.6% |
| Charlotte |
(1-2) |
8.0% |
8.2% |
--- |
| Liberty |
(2-2) |
2.5% |
13.1% |
61.4% |
| UNCW |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Fayetteville
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (12) Arkansas |
(1-2) |
86.5% |
58.2% |
--- |
| Arizona ✓ |
(3-0) |
12.3% |
41.1% |
85.2% |
| Villanova |
(2-2) |
1.1% |
0.6% |
14.8% |
| Southeast Missouri |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Lafayette
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (13) Louisiana |
(3-2) |
91.4% |
70.4% |
36.8% |
| Baylor ✓ |
(3-1) |
4.3% |
25.4% |
63.2% |
| Ole Miss |
(0-2) |
4.2% |
4.1% |
--- |
| Princeton |
(1-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Tuscaloosa
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (14) Alabama ✓ |
(3-0) |
73.2% |
48.2% |
77.3% |
| Clemson |
(1-2) |
18.4% |
18.5% |
--- |
| Southeastern Louisiana |
(2-2) |
8.3% |
33.2% |
22.7% |
| South Carolina Upstate |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.1% |
--- |
Tallahassee
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (15) Florida State ✓ |
(3-0) |
69.8% |
43.0% |
73.2% |
| Auburn |
(2-2) |
16.0% |
13.0% |
26.8% |
| UCF |
(1-2) |
14.1% |
45.2% |
--- |
| Chattanooga |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.8% |
--- |
College Station
|
|
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
| (16) Texas A&M ✓ |
(3-0) |
70.7% |
44.7% |
73.2% |
| Texas State |
(2-2) |
15.8% |
43.2% |
26.8% |
| Penn State |
(1-2) |
13.4% |
11.9% |
--- |
| Albany |
(0-2) |
0.1% |
0.2% |
--- |
