2026 North Carolina Tar Heels Predicted Results
Predictions include games against Division I opponents only.
All times are Eastern
KEY:
Predicted Game Results
Quadrant 1 (Q1): All Opponents (1-25)
Quadrant 2 (Q2): All Opponents (26-50)
Quadrant 3 (Q3): All Opponents (51-75)
Quadrant 4 (Q4): All Opponents (76-128)
Predicted Rankings / Strength of Schedule (SOS)
Non-Conf SOS
ELO
1
(1646.6)
SOS
Opp Win Percent
1
(0.7023)
Non-Conf SOS
Opp Win Percent
3
(0.8605)
Predicted Quadrant Records (ELO)
Schedule
- Aer Lingus College Football Classic
-
AUG
29
SAT
VS
Dublin, Ireland
Aviva Stadium
TV: ESPN
L 24 - 28
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| North Carolina |
|
|
|
|
0 |
| TCU |
|
|
|
|
0 |
Location: Dublin, Ireland
Stadium: Aviva Stadium
Opponent ELO: FBS
-
-
SEP
12
SAT
Chapel Hill, NC
Kenan Stadium
TV: ACC Network
W 35 - 21
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| East Tennessee State |
|
|
|
|
0 |
| North Carolina |
|
|
|
|
0 |
Location: Chapel Hill, NC
Stadium: Kenan Stadium
Opponent ELO: 6
-
SEP
19
SAT
AT
Clemson, SC
Memorial Stadium
TV: ESPN
L 20 - 33
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| North Carolina |
|
|
|
|
0 |
| Clemson |
|
|
|
|
0 |
Location: Clemson, SC
Stadium: Memorial Stadium
Opponent ELO: FBS
-
OCT
3
SAT
Chapel Hill, NC
Kenan Stadium
L 19 - 35
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| Notre Dame |
|
|
|
|
0 |
| North Carolina |
|
|
|
|
0 |
Location: Chapel Hill, NC
Stadium: Kenan Stadium
Opponent ELO: FBS
-
OCT
10
SAT
AT
Pittsburgh, PA
Acrisure Stadium
L 24 - 27
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| North Carolina |
|
|
|
|
0 |
| Pittsburgh |
|
|
|
|
0 |
Location: Pittsburgh, PA
Stadium: Acrisure Stadium
Opponent ELO: FBS
-
OCT
17
SAT
AT
Durham, NC
Wallace Wade Stadium
L 26 - 28
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| North Carolina |
|
|
|
|
0 |
| Duke |
|
|
|
|
0 |
Location: Durham, NC
Stadium: Wallace Wade Stadium
Opponent ELO: FBS
-
OCT
24
SAT
Chapel Hill, NC
Kenan Stadium
W 32 - 19
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| Syracuse |
|
|
|
|
0 |
| North Carolina |
|
|
|
|
0 |
Location: Chapel Hill, NC
Stadium: Kenan Stadium
Opponent ELO: FBS
-
OCT
31
SAT
Chapel Hill, NC
Kenan Stadium
L 20 - 34
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| Miami (FL) |
|
|
|
|
0 |
| North Carolina |
|
|
|
|
0 |
Location: Chapel Hill, NC
Stadium: Kenan Stadium
Opponent ELO: FBS
-
NOV
7
SAT
AT
East Hartford, CT
Pratt & Whitney Stadium
TV: CBSSN
L 24 - 26
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| North Carolina |
|
|
|
|
0 |
| Connecticut |
|
|
|
|
0 |
Location: East Hartford, CT
Stadium: Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Opponent ELO: FBS
-
NOV
14
SAT
Chapel Hill, NC
Kenan Stadium
L 23 - 30
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| Louisville |
|
|
|
|
0 |
| North Carolina |
|
|
|
|
0 |
Location: Chapel Hill, NC
Stadium: Kenan Stadium
Opponent ELO: FBS
-
NOV
21
SAT
AT
Charlottesville, VA
Scott Stadium
L 21 - 26
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| North Carolina |
|
|
|
|
0 |
| Virginia |
|
|
|
|
0 |
Location: Charlottesville, VA
Stadium: Scott Stadium
Opponent ELO: FBS
-
NOV
28
SAT
Chapel Hill, NC
Kenan Stadium
W 28 - 24
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
Total |
| North Carolina State |
|
|
|
|
0 |
| North Carolina |
|
|
|
|
0 |
Location: Chapel Hill, NC
Stadium: Kenan Stadium
Opponent ELO: FBS