NCAA Tournament
Regionals Predictions
Each regional is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team winning the regional.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary
Knoxville
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(1) Tennessee ✓ (3-0) 85.7 92.8 96.8 ---
Southern Miss (2-2) 11.8 2.5 1.9 ---
Indiana (1-2) 2.4 4.6 1.3 ---
Northern Kentucky (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---
Lexington
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(2) Kentucky ✓ (3-0) 59.2 65.2 87.9 ---
Indiana State (2-2) 29.4 11.6 7.1 ---
Illinois (1-2) 11.3 23.1 5.0 ---
Western Michigan (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---
College Station
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(3) Texas A&M ✓ (3-0) 76.8 80.7 94.1 ---
Louisiana (2-2) 14.5 4.6 2.4 ---
Texas (1-2) 8.6 14.6 3.5 ---
Grambling State (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---
Chapel Hill
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(4) North Carolina ✓ (3-1) 70.6 67.0 92.9 60.0
LSU (3-2) 16.5 26.9 2.6 40.0
Wofford (1-2) 12.8 6.0 4.5 ---
Long Island (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---
Fayetteville
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(5) Arkansas (1-2) 69.1 80.0 54.8 ---
Louisiana Tech (0-2) 24.8 7.0 --- ---
Kansas State ✓ (3-0) 5.9 12.9 45.0 ---
Southeast Missouri (2-2) 0.2 0.1 0.2 ---
Clemson
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(6) Clemson ✓ (3-0) 65.3 69.5 91.7 ---
Vanderbilt (0-2) 19.4 6.7 --- ---
Coastal Carolina (2-2) 15.1 23.7 8.2 ---
High Point (1-2) 0.2 0.1 0.1 ---
Athens
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(7) Georgia ✓ (3-0) 69.7 65.3 92.5 ---
UNCW (1-2) 20.0 30.1 3.6 ---
Georgia Tech (2-2) 10.2 4.5 3.9 ---
Army (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---
Tallahassee
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(8) Florida State ✓ (3-0) 64.7 73.9 94.5 ---
Alabama (0-2) 20.3 5.9 --- ---
UCF (2-2) 13.3 20.1 5.1 ---
Stetson (1-2) 1.7 0.1 0.4 ---
Norman
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(9) Oklahoma (3-2) 49.3 62.3 23.0 58.8
Duke (1-2) 43.4 21.2 25.5 ---
Connecticut ✓ (3-1) 7.2 16.4 51.6 41.2
Oral Roberts (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---
Raleigh
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(10) North Carolina State ✓ (3-0) 48.0 48.5 83.2 ---
South Carolina (1-2) 36.5 46.7 10.8 ---
James Madison (2-2) 14.3 4.7 6.0 ---
Bryant (0-2) 1.2 0.1 --- ---
Stillwater
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(11) Oklahoma State (2-2) 70.0 80.4 93.8 62.1
Nebraska (1-2) 20.1 5.4 3.3 ---
Florida ✓ (4-1) 8.8 14.0 2.9 37.9
Niagara (0-2) 1.1 0.2 --- ---
Charlottesville
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(12) Virginia ✓ (3-0) 65.0 59.2 90.2 ---
Mississippi State (2-2) 23.7 36.1 5.1 ---
Saint John's (1-2) 11.2 4.6 4.7 ---
Penn (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---
Tucson
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(13) Arizona (0-2) 38.3 11.3 --- ---
Dallas Baptist (1-2) 42.0 18.1 30.7 ---
West Virginia ✓ (3-0) 16.4 53.3 67.1 ---
Grand Canyon (2-2) 3.3 17.3 2.2 ---
Santa Barbara
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(14) UC Santa Barbara (2-2) 62.4 68.5 27.1 ---
San Diego (1-2) 27.8 10.9 13.3 ---
Oregon ✓ (3-0) 9.7 20.5 59.6 ---
Fresno State (0-2) 0.1 0.1 --- ---
Corvallis
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(15) Oregon State ✓ (3-0) 59.8 60.2 88.9 ---
UC Irvine (2-2) 31.7 38.2 10.3 ---
Nicholls (0-2) 6.2 1.5 --- ---
Tulane (1-2) 2.3 0.1 0.7 ---
Greenville
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4*
(16) East Carolina (3-2) 55.5 31.3 53.9 65.6
Wake Forest (0-2) 37.7 16.4 --- ---
VCU (1-2) 2.5 24.3 4.4 ---
Evansville ✓ (3-1) 4.3 28.0 41.7 34.4