NCAA Tournament - College World Series Prediction

Each game of the College World Series is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team advancing to the CWS Championship Series and winning the National Championship.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary

CWS Bracket 1

Probability of advancing to CWS Final series

Day 1 Day 3 Day 5 Day 7/8*
(5) Texas A&M (2-2) 20.6% 3.7% 11.9% 26.6%
(9) Texas (0-2) 34.9% 13.6% --- ---
Notre Dame (1-2) 27.6% 52.6% 20.1% ---
Oklahoma (3-0) 16.9% 30.1% 68.0% 73.4%

CWS Bracket 2

Probability of advancing to CWS Final series

Day 2 Day 4 Day 6 Day 7/8*
(2) Stanford (0-2) 30.4% 8.0% --- ---
(14) Auburn (1-2) 19.9% 4.8% 9.4% ---
Ole Miss (3-1) 27.6% 45.2% 79.0% 50.9%
Arkansas (3-2) 22.1% 42.0% 11.6% 49.1%

National Championship

Probability of winning the 2022 National Championship

Initial Updated
(2) Stanford 15.8% ---
(5) Texas A&M 9.5% ---
(9) Texas 18.8% ---
(14) Auburn 9.4% ---
Notre Dame 14.1% ---
Ole Miss 14.0% 81.4%
Arkansas 10.9% ---
Oklahoma 7.4% 18.6%