NCAA Tournament
College World Series Prediction
Each game of the College World Series is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team advancing to the CWS Championship Series and winning the National Championship.
National Seed in parentheses
* if necessary
CWS Bracket 1
probabilities of advancing to CWS Final series
| Day 1 |
Day 3 |
Day 5 |
Day 7/8* |
||
| (3) Oregon State | (4-1) | 44.1% | 13.1% | 24.5% | 58.0% ✓ |
| (6) North Carolina | (1-2) | 30.6% | 53.0% | 14.5% | --- |
| Mississippi State | (2-2) | 17.1% | 32.3% | 61.0% | 42.0% |
| Washington | (0-2) | 8.2% | 1.6% | --- | --- |
CWS Bracket 2
probabilities of advancing to CWS Final series
| Day 2 |
Day 4 |
Day 6 |
Day 7/8* |
||
| (1) Florida | (2-2) | 33.3% | 8.2% | 16.7% | 29.2% |
| (5) Arkansas | (3-0) | 34.4% | 53.3% | 75.4% | 70.8% ✓ |
| Texas Tech | (1-2) | 18.7% | 35.4% | 7.9% | --- |
| Texas | (0-2) | 13.6% | 3.1% | --- | --- |
National Championship
probabilities of winning the 2018 National Championship
| Initial | Updated | |
| (1) Florida | 15.6% | --- |
| (3) Oregon State | 26.0% | 54.0% ✓ |
| (5) Arkansas | 16.4% | 46.0% |
| (6) North Carolina | 19.4% | --- |
| Texas Tech | 10.9% | --- |
| Mississippi State | 5.4% | --- |
| Texas | 4.3% | --- |
| Washington | 2.0% | --- |