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OK. You asked for my picks. Now, you can see my bracket.
How did you come up with UNLV and Southern Illinois in the Final Four?
UNLV - In the first round they are the favorite (73%) over Georgia Tech.
In the second round, they appeared to be a slight underdog (43%) to Wisconsin.
Once I advanced the Rebels past the Badgers, I was surprised to see that UNLV was actually favored over Oregon (52%) in the Sweet 16.
And, I was even more surprised to see UNLV as only a slight dog (48%) to Florida in the Elite 8.
I took the underdog once again.
It appears that UNLV has about an 8% chance of making the Final Four out of the Midwest Regional.
Definitely, an underdog pick when Florida and Wisconsin have Final Four probabilities of 18% and 13% respectively.
Southern Illinois - In the first round they are the favorite (77%) over Holy Cross.
In the second round, they are an equal favorite over both Illinois and Virginia Tech (73%).
Notice that I have Kentucky upsetting Kansas in the second round.
Kentucky has about a 40% chance of the upset.
If the Wildcats can pull off the win over Kansas, the Southern Illinois will be a 63% favorite to advance and play Pittsburgh.
Southern Illinois is a pick 'em against Pitt.
SIU has about a 15% chance to make the Final Four compared to UCLA (22%), Kansas (12%), and Pitt (8%).
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| 1st Round |
| Florida |
| Jackson State |
| Arizona |
| Purdue |
| Butler |
| Old Dominion |
| Maryland |
| Davidson |
| Notre Dame |
| Winthrop |
| Oregon |
| Miami-Ohio |
| UNLV |
| Georgia Tech |
| Wisconsin |
| Texas AM-CC |
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| 2nd Round |
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| Florida |
| Arizona |
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| Old Dominion |
| Maryland |
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| Notre Dame |
| Oregon |
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| UNLV |
| Wisconsin |
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| Sweet 16 |
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| Florida |
| Maryland |
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| Oregon |
| UNLV |
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| Elite 8 |
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| N Carolina |
| Georgetown |
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| Sweet 16 |
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| N Carolina |
| Texas |
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| Vanderbilt |
| Georgetown |
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| 2nd Round |
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| N Carolina |
| Michigan St |
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| Arkansas |
| Texas |
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| Vanderbilt |
| Washington St |
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| Boston College |
| Georgetown |
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| 1st Round |
| N Carolina |
| E Kentucky |
| Marquette |
| Michigan St |
| USC |
| Arkansas |
| Texas |
| New Mexico St |
| Vanderbilt |
| George Wash |
| Wash State |
| Oral Roberts |
| Boston Coll |
| Texas Tech |
| Georgetown |
| Belmont |
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| 1st Round |
| Kansas |
| Niagara |
| Kentucky |
| Villanova |
| VA Tech |
| Illinois |
| S Illinois |
| Holy Cross |
| Duke |
| VCU |
| Pittsburgh |
| Wright St |
| Indiana |
| Gonzaga |
| UCLA |
| Weber St |
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| 2nd Round |
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| Kansas |
| Kentucky |
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| Illinois |
| S Illinois |
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| Duke |
| Pittsburgh |
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| Indiana |
| UCLA |
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| Sweet 16 |
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| Kentucky |
| S Illinois |
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| Pittsburgh |
| UCLA |
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| Elite 8 |
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| S Illinois |
| Pittsburgh |
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| Elite 8 |
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| Ohio State |
| Texas A&M |
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| Sweet 16 |
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| Ohio State |
| Tennessee |
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| Texas A&M |
| Memphis |
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| 2nd Round |
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| Ohio State |
| Xavier |
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| Tennessee |
| Virginia |
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| Louisville |
| Texas A&M |
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| Creighton |
| Memphis |
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| 1st Round |
| Ohio State |
| C Connecticut |
| BYU |
| Xavier |
| Tennessee |
| Long Beach St |
| Virginia |
| Albany |
| Louisville |
| Stanford |
| Texas A&M |
| Pennsylvania |
| Nevada |
| Creighton |
| Memphis |
| North Texas |
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| Final Four |
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| UNLV |
| S Illinois |
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| Georgetown |
| Ohio State |
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| Championship |
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| S Illinois 62 |
| Ohio State 71 |
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